I do not often comment on national elections, but a new president is a big deal for everyone. There are so many aspects of this election I do not know where to start.
The first comment deals with polling. We had this problem 4 years ago and it isn’t going away.
This issue centers on state polls. Many were on target in places like Texas, Georgia and Iowa. But when you look at polls conducted in the states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, the data did not match up to the final result.
As I have written many times before, polling is a geeky exercise in statistical analysis, evaluating data and vast arrays of numbers. Polls that meet the standards of the polling industry ended up with data that were way out of the margin of error looking at some of the final results. Those with the responsibility of polling need to look at the practices of their industry and do a better job.
It should be noted that this is not related to any media bias. Media companies hire polling firms they believe follow the best practices in the industry…..the media companies themselves do not do the polling. The media hires a polling firm to provide solid data. That didn’t happen in every state in this election cycle.
It should also be noted that political campaigns poll all the time just to know where they stand with the voters. If the campaigns are getting bad polling information, they cannot know where they stand with voters at any particular point in time.
Bottom line, those involved in polling need to take a deep look into where things went wrong in the 2020 presidential race.
All the major media organizations have declared Joe Biden the new president-elect. It is true every vote has not been counted, but that will take weeks in many states. The bean counters hired by the media have determined that the numbers now are such that President Trump has no chance of winning enough electoral votes to win re-election.
The president has been Tweeting that he alleges fraud in the vote count. He is entitled to file lawsuits and ask for recounts if he so desires. But he and his attorneys will have the burden to provide proof of fraud and so far no evidence has been presented providing that proof.
With that in mind, it looks like Joe Biden will be the next President of the United States. Let’s watch what happens now.